纽约大学斯特恩商学院教授 Aswath Damodaran 表示,AI 规模达 10 万亿至 15 万亿美元的潜在市场主要建立在取代人类工作而非仅作为工具的基础之上。如果这一宏大愿景成真,意味着半数白领将失去工作并面临收入与生活意义的丧失。相关完整访谈视频已发布在 Excess Returns 播客频道。
The $10-$15 trillion total addressable market for AI, if it is successful, is actually "terrifying".
- The famous "Dean of Valuation", Professor Aswath Damodaran, of NYU Stern School of Business.
The reason: AI as a tool is a much smaller market; AI as a replacement for human-jobs is where the giant market story comes from.
"The best-case scenario for AI, that $10 to $15 trillion market, will happen if ONLY it replaces people.
If AI is a tool, it’s going to be a much smaller market than if AI replaces people. So, the stories we’re telling about $10, $20 or $25 trillion markets are actually terrifying stories for the rest of the world.
Why? Because if that story comes true, half of all white-collar people are going to lose their jobs. And what are they going to do instead? Who’s going to come up with the income to buy the products and services?
If AI works as well as it’s supposed to and replaces people, how do we deal with that as a society? Because people lose their jobs. Not only do you lose your income, you lose your life’s meaning.."
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Full video on "Excess Returns" podcast Youtube channel (link in comment)
来源:Rohan Paul · x.com