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AI 时代的人月神话:布鲁克斯定律是否依然适用?

The Mythical Man-Month in the Age of AI

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Jan van den Berg 探讨了在 AI 智能体和 LLM 时代,布鲁克斯定律是否依然成立。文章指出,传统的人力瓶颈虽然消失,但串行任务、模型幻觉以及协调成本使得管理开销转变为管理 AI 智能体。向缺乏清晰需求的同一个代码库投入大量智能体,只会更快地得到错误的结果。

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Jan van den Berg

The Mythical Man-Month in the age of AI

27 October 2026

Last weekend I watched four people desperately trying to get a laptop to connect to a screen. I was happily observing their efforts, with zero intent to join in.

But someone nudged me: can't you have a look at it?

My reply: "Haha sorry no! My experience is that adding more people will not solve this problem any quicker".

I was of course -- indirectly -- reffering to Brooks's Law:

"Adding manpower to a late software project makes it later."

It was formulated by computer scientist Frederick P. Brooks Jr. in his 1975 book The Mythical Man-Month, based on his experience managing the IBM OS/360 project.

However I got to thinking. Does this still hold up in the age of AI agents and LLMs?

At first glance, you’d think no. The traditional bottlenecks -- onboarding time, endless stand-ups, and office politics -- disappear overnight. An AI agent is up to speed in milliseconds and doesn't demand a coffee break.

But when you look closer, and the law hasn't vanished. It just mutated.

The famous "Baby Problem" remains: nine agents still can’t deliver a baby in one month. Sequential tasks are still sequential.

Overhead hasn't disappeared; it shifted: instead of managing people, you are now managing agents. Someone still needs to define "done", review the code, catch hallucinations, and stitch the pieces together.

That someone is you.

Throw nine autonomous agents at a single codebase without crystal-clear orchestration, and they will happily rewrite each other's work in a high-speed loop.

Maybe the 2026 update to Brooks’s Law should be:

"Adding agents to a project with unclear requirements gets you the wrong answer faster."

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